Missouri St
W-L: ( 7- 6) PR = 70.3345Schedule/Results All Games
Date Opponent Conf/State (W-L, PR) Score 830 A USC B10 ( 9- 4, 87.5) 13-73 906 A Marshall SUN ( 5- 7, 71.8) 21-20 913 H SMU ACC ( 8- 4, 83.7) 10-28 920 H UT Martin 42-10 927 H We Kentucky CUSA ( 9- 4, 75.2) 22-27 1008 A Middle Tenn CUSA ( 3- 9, 66.4) 22-20 1022 A NM St CUSA ( 4- 8, 65.1) 24-17 1029 H Florida Intl CUSA ( 7- 6, 70.8) 28-21 1108 A Liberty CUSA ( 4- 8, 68.4) 21-17 1115 H UTEP CUSA ( 2-10, 61.8) 38-24 1122 A Kennesaw St CUSA (10- 4, 73.9) 34-41 1129 H La Tech CUSA ( 8- 5, 75.6) 30-42 1218 N Arkansas State SUN ( 7- 6, 69.9) 28-34
PREDICTION LIST
-------------------------------------
|Real = actual goal margin |
|Pred = predicted goal margin |
|+ = slightly above prediction |
|++ = above prediction |
|+++ = well above prediction |
|- = slightly below prediction |
|-- = below prediction |
|--- = well below prediction |
|Goals* = Goals over (+) under (-) |
| prediction. N/A when ten |
| goal limit is exceeded |
|n/a = Outside division |
-------------------------------------
Date Opponent Score Real Pred +/- Goals*
830 A USC 13-73 -60 -22 0.00
906 A Marshall 21-20 1 -7 +++ 7.72
913 H SMU 10-28 -18 -8 -- -5.92
927 H We Kentucky 22-27 -5 0 -- -5.44
1008 A Middle Tenn 22-20 2 -1 + 3.37
1022 A NM St 24-17 7 0 +++ 7.01
1029 H Florida Intl 28-21 7 5 + 2.18
1108 A Liberty 21-17 4 -3 +++ 7.36
1115 H UTEP 38-24 14 14 0.25
1122 A Kennesaw St 34-41 -7 -9 1.85
1129 H La Tech 30-42 -12 0 --- -11.96
1218 N Arkansas State 28-34 -6 0 --- -6.42
|
UNDER-ACHIEVED GAMES
Date Opponent Score Real Pred +/- Goals* 1129 H La Tech 30-42 -12 0 --- -11.96 1218 N Arkansas State 28-34 -6 0 --- -6.42 913 H SMU 10-28 -18 -8 -- -5.92 927 H We Kentucky 22-27 -5 0 -- -5.44 |
OVER-ACHIEVED GAMES
Date Opponent Score Real Pred +/- Goals* 906 A Marshall 21-20 1 -7 +++ 7.72 1022 A NM St 24-17 7 0 +++ 7.01 1108 A Liberty 21-17 4 -3 +++ 7.36 1008 A Middle Tenn 22-20 2 -1 + 3.37 1029 H Florida Intl 28-21 7 5 + 2.18 |
division Games OnlyAverage number of games used in Games Correction = 12.75
Date Opponent (W-L PR) SCORE SAFE SAFE Home No Games SCI
Loss Win Field Correction Points
SLP SWP Advantage Factor
3 A USC ( 9- 4, 87.5) 13-73 -12.37 38.85 5.26 1.06 -3.78
3 A Marshall ( 5- 7, 71.8) 21-20 -28.11 23.11 5.26 1.06 60.29
3 H SMU ( 8- 4, 83.7) 10-28 -16.22 35.00 -5.26 1.06 -11.41
3 H We Kentucky ( 9- 4, 75.2) 22-27 -24.75 26.47 -5.26 1.06 -15.94
3 A Middle Tenn ( 3- 9, 66.4) 22-20 -33.45 17.77 5.26 1.06 48.93
3 A NM St ( 4- 8, 65.1) 24-17 -34.81 16.41 5.26 1.06 46.04
3 H Florida Intl ( 7- 6, 70.8) 28-21 -29.13 22.09 -5.26 1.06 35.76
3 A Liberty ( 4- 8, 68.4) 21-17 -31.47 19.75 5.26 1.06 53.15
3 H UTEP ( 2-10, 61.8) 38-24 -38.06 13.16 -5.26 1.06 16.79
3 A Kennesaw St (10- 4, 73.9) 34-41 -25.97 25.25 5.26 1.06 -11.00
3 H La Tech ( 8- 5, 75.6) 30-42 -24.27 26.95 -5.26 1.06 -15.69
3 N Arkansas State ( 7- 6, 69.9) 28-34 -29.99 21.23 -0.00 1.06 -15.93
------
187.22
|
winning pts = 260.9678 losing points = -73.7477
SCI ={(SLP or SLW) +/- home-field advantage} * Game Correction.
------------------------------------------------------------------------
| (W-L PR) = Won-loss record and power rating |
| SCORE = game score |
| SAFE Loss (SLP) = Points deducted for losing to the opponent |
| SAFE Win (SWP) = Points awarded for defeating the opponent |
| Home-field Advantage = goals deducted/awarded for site |
| No games correction = normalzation based on a ~16 game schedule |
------------------------------------------------------------------------